Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
80 UC Irvine 100.0%   12   29 - 5 15 - 1 29 - 5 15 - 1 +6.2      +1.5 134 +4.7 59 64.3 293 +9.9 52 +10.9 1
170 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   20 - 10 10 - 6 20 - 10 10 - 6 -0.6      +0.5 162 -1.2 199 62.7 324 +0.4 167 -0.6 3
185 Hawaii 0.0%   16 - 13 9 - 7 16 - 13 9 - 7 -1.5      -0.2 182 -1.3 204 66.1 244 -1.7 189 -2.2 4
192 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   14 - 17 10 - 6 14 - 17 10 - 6 -2.0      -3.3 265 +1.3 137 73.3 73 -1.8 191 -0.4 2
217 Long Beach St. 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 8 13 - 19 8 - 8 -3.1      -1.7 225 -1.4 207 77.4 28 -2.5 201 -3.6 5
235 UC Davis 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 9 9 - 20 7 - 9 -4.3      -4.9 300 +0.5 151 65.4 274 -6.4 271 -5.1 7
252 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 9 12 - 20 7 - 9 -5.4      0.0 174 -5.4 308 75.1 49 -6.5 272 -5.0 6
312 UC Riverside 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 12 7 - 23 4 - 12 -9.2      -3.6 272 -5.6 315 60.8 340 -9.1 308 -9.8 8
332 Cal Poly 0.0%   4 - 23 2 - 14 4 - 24 2 - 14 -11.9      -4.6 291 -7.3 338 65.6 269 -13.3 333 -14.2 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 2.0 100.0
Hawaii 4.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 2.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 5.0 100.0
UC Davis 6.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 6.0 100.0
UC Riverside 8.0 100.0
Cal Poly 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Irvine 15 - 1 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 10 - 6 100.0
Hawaii 9 - 7 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 10 - 6 100.0
Long Beach St. 8 - 8 100.0
UC Davis 7 - 9 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 7 - 9 100.0
UC Riverside 4 - 12 100.0
Cal Poly 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC Santa Barbara
Hawaii
Cal St. Fullerton
Long Beach St.
UC Davis
Cal St. Northridge
UC Riverside
Cal Poly


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 1.3 46.5 45.9 6.2
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.7% 3.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.7% 0.2 82.3 17.7
Sweet Sixteen 3.9% 0.0 96.1 3.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0